shiny pokemon probability

As Alycia mentioned in her FAQ Post...

What will the Shiny Rate be?

  • Our finalized Shiny Rate has been locked in. The final rate will be 1/20,480, and will feature a pity system.
  • The Pity System will decrease the overall rate, as opposed to instantly giving you the shiny. As an example, if you were to encounter 500 Pikachu, the pity system will then start scaling down the overall rate, to where it would become 1/20,230.
  • The Pity System works on specific Pokemon. So for example, encountering 500 Pikachu increases the odds to encounter a Shiny Pikachu, but will not affect the odds for a Shiny Pidgey (unless you have encountered Pidgeys).
  • Boosts will be available through gameplay and donations.

So, slightly less than the previously discussed PokeMMO rate of 1:30,000. But higher than the original poster described in their post.

Feel free to continue the discussion in this thread, regarding this topic, as the FAQ post is an Announcement post and therefore has replies turned off.
I wonder if 1/20,480 is the final expectation after calculating the pity system, or the initial expectation without the pity system. Anyway, I think it's a good thing to be honest with players about probabilities, so what concerns do you have to hide?
 
I wonder if 1/20,480 is the final expectation after calculating the pity system, or the initial expectation without the pity system. Anyway, I think it's a good thing to be honest with players about probabilities, so what concerns do you have to hide?
When I saw the shiny odds for this game for the first time, I wasn't sure if I like it or not. It seemed to me like it's going to be a lot of pain to hunt for your favourite shiny, especially if it's going to be one of the rarer encounters in the game.

But now, if I compare the shiny odds to other Pokemon MMO's, I think i prefer these shiny odds, since it makes shinies more valuable and special. And since boosts are going to be available aswell, I think it will be fine.
 
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